SOUTH ASIA - SECURITY TRENDS
OCTOBER 2007 VOLUME 1 NO 9
SAVING YOUR LIFE - CARING FOR YOUR SECURITY
September was a month of political tsunamis for South Asia. While Pakistan faced one crisis after another, there was large scale military crackdown on monks in Myanmar (Burma to most who do not approve of the military regime) leading to an emergency visit by special representative of the UN Secretary General, Mr Ibrahim Gambari. India cruising towards the Indo US Nuclear Deal, suddenly faced prospects of mid term elections as the Left parties hardened their stance on its operationalisation. In Nepal the CPM N ministers resigned from the government and threatened to stall the elections on 22 November even as confabulations continue. Even tiny Maldives suffered a bomb blast which injured many tourists, all this as Bangladesh suffered a second round of floods and Sri Lanka continued with its military campaign against the LTTE in the north. Ironically the South Asian region topped the list of orders placed for procurement of arms by developing countries in 2006. Rightly, the International Institute of Strategic Studies London commented on the human costs of the arms ‘racing’ phenomenon in the Sub Continent. In this challenging security situation we venture to portray a few developing scenarios in Pakistan in the light of the Presidential elections and India over the UPA – Left stand off on the 123 Agreement. Very few of these promise stability, so should be a must read. We welcome your comments on the dynamics of the region.
PREVIEW OF CONTENTS
Afghanistan: Preparing for a Hot Winter
Why NATO is not winning in Afghanistan? How NATO Will Win in Afghanistan?
Bangladesh: 2008 - Year of Elections
The Restructuring Process in Bangladesh, Political Flux, Shillong – Dhaka Bus Service
Bhutan: Electoral Democracy Ushering Change
Elections as a Form of Societal Transformation, Dangers of Red Rage
China : PLA’S Manifold Capability Building
‘Give and Take’ Sino Indian Boundary Issue, PLA Buglers: Information Warriors?
Myanmar: “Metta Sutta” Revolution
Military, Monks and Cyber Age Protests, Structured Approach to Democracy
Nepal : Elections or Anarchy?
The Maoists “Next Revolt” Will it Disrupt Elections? Terai Concerns
Pakistan : A Defining Quarter Ahead
All Eye’s on Presidential Elections, Army’s Crisis of Morale and Confidence
Sri Lanka : Is the LTTE Doomed?
Operational Scene – North, Operational Scene –East, Many More Miles for Peace
India : Stability of Government and Nuclear Deal
Increased military spending in S Asia, Siachen Trekking Expedition
Indo US Civil Nuclear Deal : Scenarios Ahead
The Israel and Pakistan Factor in NSG
Joint Training – Key to Future Military Engagement
Indra 07, Varuna 07, Himalayan Warrior, Proposed Centres of Excellence
Joint Armed Forces Capability Building
Change of Baton COSC and COAS, Indian Regional Navigational Satellite System
Land Forces Capability Building
Surveillance Grid in Kashmir – High Technology for Counter Infiltration
Maritime Forces Capability Building
Freedom to Use the Seas: India’s Maritime Military Strategy, Malabar 2007
Aero Space Forces Capability Building
Ayni in Tajikistan – An Outflanking Option, India’s Air Power Focus in the East
India : Continued Terror Vulnerabilities
India’s Poor Anti Terrorism Preparedness: Rap from UN, Choking Financing.
Kashmir : State Election Strategies Falling in Place
Ramzan Cease Fire in Valley – An Idea Nipped in the Bud
The North East : India’s Security Black Hole
ULFA – Underestimated but Potent, Manipur: Perils of Ethnic Cauldron
Naxalism : Contours of A Counter Naxal Strategy
Counter Naxal Strategy, From Law and Order to Restoration of Rights
With regards,
Rahul K Bhonsle
Security-risks.com
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